Questions tagged [prediction]

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Were there any Bitcoin based prediction markets for the Brexit referendum?

Were the are Bitcoin based prediction markets for the Brexit referendum? If yes, how did the prediction market fare compared to recent public polling data versus the actual referendum results? Are there any studies comparing the accuracy of Bitcoin…
animal instinct
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Has anyone patched the code to experiment with the currency supply model?

Since the supply model of a currency is a key factor in it's economic properties, I think it would be interesting to experiment with supply models that could be changed easily. It could perhaps then be linked to some other external factor which…
barrymac
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What are the implications of a decreasing trend of MtGox "ask" depth compared with "bid" depth?

The "Mt Gox Order Book Depth" chart at the bottom of the page at http://bitcoinx.com/charts/ currently looks like this: Since mid May the red line on the chart ("Ask sum") has a strong decreasing trend, whereas the blue line ("Bid sum") has stayed…
Highly Irregular
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What if somebody invested $100 billion in bitcoin now? What are the thing that will get effected?

I know this is just a hypothetical situation but just out of curiosity I wanted to what are the thing that will change after this investment like the price, difficulty etc.
Debu Shinobi
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Metcalfe's law for bitcoin price

Here's an inline link to article article the square function number of users times the average transaction value. 94% of the bitcoin moved over the past four years is explained by that equation. It does't make sense for me about a mathematical…
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Where can I find On Balance Volume for bitcoin? (or ETH, LTC?)

I recently read about the usefulness of On balance Volume (OBV) in predicting price movement. I use GDAX and don't think it has OBV. (Or is there?) Any exchange that displays OBV? Thanks.
S K
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How to predict value of bitcoin?

I was just thinking if its possible to predict bitcoin value. If so, what would be the parameters?